Hua Fu Securities Interpretation of the Politburo Meeting in December: More incremental policies can be expected in the future. The Hua Fu Securities Research Report pointed out that the Politburo Meeting in December decided to implement more active and promising macro policies in economic work next year, which released major signals to the market, including: First, it proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy, which was also proposed in response to the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic in 2020. Second, it is proposed to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, which is more positive than the previous statement. Moreover, from the historical experience, the "moderately loose" monetary policy implemented in China after the last financial crisis in 2009-2010 has significantly enhanced its support for economic growth. This change in expression will send a clearer and clearer policy signal to the market. Third, it is proposed for the first time to strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment, and more incremental policies can be expected in the future. Fourth, after the policy adjustment, the expansion of domestic demand will be put in the first place, which highlights the importance and policy determination of expanding domestic demand next year. The follow-up consumption promotion policy may exert its efforts in many aspects, such as continuously promoting the trade-in of consumer goods, introducing incremental measures related to service consumption, and improving the support and protection of low-and middle-income people. Fifth, it is clearly proposed to stabilize the property market stock market, which will help to continuously consolidate the momentum of stabilization and recovery of the real estate market and give full play to the important functions of the capital market.Central bank sources and two Syrian commercial bankers: the Syrian Central Bank and commercial banks will resume operations on Tuesday, and the staff will be required to go to work.Market News: White House National Security Adviser jack sullivan is expected to visit Israel on Thursday to hold talks on Syrian and Gaza hostages and a ceasefire agreement.
COMEX silver rose by 3.00% in the day and is now quoted at $32.54 per ounce.Jingxing Paper: The second phase of Malay project is expected to start in the first quarter of 2025. Jingxing Paper said in an institutional survey on December 9 that the capacity utilization rate of the company's packaging paper is relatively high, except for necessary maintenance and downtime, it is basically in the state of full-load operation, and the annual output this year is about 1.5 million tons. On the issue of the company's capital expenditure plan in the later period, Jingxing Paper said that the company's largest capital expenditure plan at present is the Malay Phase II project, which is expected to be officially launched in the first quarter of next year, with an estimated construction period of two years.Ziguang shares: Ziguang special account has reduced its holdings of 28.5 million shares, and Ziguang shares (000938.SZ) issued an announcement. As of December 9, 2024, Ziguang Group Co., Ltd.' s special account for property disposal of bankrupt enterprises (hereinafter referred to as "Ziguang special account") has reduced its holdings of 28.5 million shares through centralized bidding, accounting for 0.9965% of the company's total share capital, and the reduction price range is 2474 yuan/share. The reduction plan has been implemented.
Huaxi Securities Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December: The policy strength showed an upward trend. The Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that the release signal of this meeting was positive. Judging from the significant strength of Hong Kong stocks and A50 futures, the content of the meeting greatly exceeded previous market expectations. There are mainly the following aspects: First, the policy tone is more positive. "Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment", which is used to describe countercyclical adjustment for the first time, reflects the upward trend of policy strength. The policy of this year's two sessions is expressed as "strengthening countercyclical and cross-cyclical adjustment of macro policies", the Politburo meeting in July "strengthening countercyclical adjustment" and the Politburo meeting in September "strengthening countercyclical adjustment". From the point of view of change, it gradually turns to counter-cycle instead of cross-cycle, and the intensity is constantly upgrading. Create a follow-up policy for the market that may continue to be introduced until the economy stabilizes and rebounds. At the same time, the meeting did not mention "coordinating the expansion of domestic demand and deepening the structural reform of the supply side", but directly mentioned the expansion of domestic demand, which is also a manifestation of facing the problem more directly and attaching importance to the demand side. Second, as far as finance and money are concerned, this meeting mentioned "implementing a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy", and the modifier "more" was added in front of the active fiscal policy. A similar expression was found in the Politburo meeting in April 2020, "The active fiscal policy should be more active and promising", and then in May, the two sessions formulated a large-scale fiscal combination boxing (deficit ratio 3.6%+, 3.75 trillion new special debts and 1 trillion special national debts). The third is to stabilize the property market and write the stock market into the 2025 goal. The fourth is to pay attention to consumption. The meeting mentioned "vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand in all directions". It is expected that the policy of promoting consumption will make a breakthrough in scale and direction. Fifth, the meeting also mentioned science and technology (to lead the development of new quality productive forces with scientific and technological innovation and build a modern industrial system), green (to jointly promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction and green growth, and accelerate the overall green transformation of economic and social development) and foreign trade. Emphasizing science and technology, it is clear that the direction of future policy is in the industrial direction led by science and technology. At the same time, for green, because next year is the last year of the 14 th Five-Year Plan, emission reduction and other targets need to be completed. In terms of foreign trade and foreign investment, the meeting mentioned that "it is necessary to expand high-level opening to the outside world and stabilize foreign trade and foreign investment".Artes: The shares to be transferred by this inquiry have been fully subscribed. Artes announced that according to the inquiry and subscription on December 9, 2024, the initial transfer price of this inquiry was 11.88 yuan/share. A total of 38 valid quotations were received for this inquiry transfer, covering professional institutional investors such as fund management companies, insurance companies, qualified foreign investors, securities companies and private fund managers. The total number of shares effectively subscribed by institutional investors participating in this inquiry and transfer quotation is 121 million shares, and the corresponding effective subscription multiple is 2.18 times. The shares to be transferred in this inquiry have been fully subscribed, and it is preliminarily determined that there are 23 transferees, and the total number of shares to be transferred is 55,323,300 shares.800 million time and space: it is planned to buy back shares of 50 million yuan to 100 million yuan. According to the announcement of 800 million time and space, it is planned to buy back shares of 50 million yuan to 100 million yuan. The source of funds is the company's own funds and the special loan for stock repurchase provided by CITIC Bank Beijing Branch, in which the amount of special loan does not exceed 70 million yuan. The repurchased shares are used for employee stock ownership plans or equity incentives at an appropriate time in the future. The repurchase price shall not exceed 41 yuan/share.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13